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PERSPECTIVES ON THE NOVEMBER 21ST REFERENDUM AND RECOMMENDATIONS
November 20 2005
Most likely, members of the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) which
is campaigning for a "No vote" in the referendum will win on
Monday, a victory that is, most likely, going to raise various issues in the
post-referendum situation in Kenya. In the event of a No victory, our analysis is that all Cabinet ministers and Assistant Ministers
in the government who are aligned to the No camp will be sacked by
President Mwai Kibaki. The President has been under pressure from the Mount Kenya Mafia
(MKM) to sack all the so called "rebel Ministers" in his government while a kettle of vultures in the
"Yes camp" have been competing for nominations to positions expected to
fall vacant after the grand fall out.
What will follow is that the sacking of the ODM leaders is going to
push them into the opposition where there is a big vacuum occasioned
by the failure of the tainted KANU Party to oppose the Kibaki
government. The deep crisis that engulfed KANU after it lost power
led to a fatal split within the Party with one faction joining the
ODM and remnants of another faction accepting positions in the government as bribes in return for support of Kibaki's unworkable
policies.
After the government loses the vote on Monday, government business
(especially in Parliament) will come to a standstill because MPs aligned to the government cannot pass bills without the support of
MPs in the No camp. The abrupt creation of 27 new districts by Kibaki in the run up to the referendum was not just a plan to "bribe
voters" or a strategy of "divide and rule" but a long term scheme to
engineer the manufacturing of extra seats in a future Parliament especially in areas where Kibaki believes that he has support.
The expected paralysis of Parliament, further tension in the government after the referendum and the awaited crystallization of
ODM into an anti-Kibaki opposition will greatly destabilize Kibaki's
administration because the Orange team will have a mass based support while the government will, mostly likely, suffer serious
isolation due to a history of betrayal of Kenyans who voted Narc in
power.
The first headache for Kibaki is that after the referendum, the ODM
leaders will begin to call for the implementation of the Bomas draft
on grounds that it is the legitimate Draft Constitution Kenyans are
interested in. Secondly, ODM will come back to haunt Kibaki by calling for the resignation of the government, a vote of no
confidence in the Kibaki administration or a snap general election,
arguing that after the defeat in the referendum, the government had
lost the authority to rule.
Apart from Mwai Kibaki who is largely regarded by his pawns as a "Godfather", the thirteen most important Kikuyu chauvinists and
members of the "Mount Kenya Mafia" currently preaching ethnic
hatred, running down the country and reminding Kenyans repeatedly that the Kibaki dictatorship is a "Kikuyu government" comprises of
the following known economic criminals:
1. Mr. John Njoroge Michuki, Minister of Internal Security
2. Mr. Mirugi Kariuki, Assistant Minister of Internal Security.
3. Mr. Kiraitu Murungi, Minister for Justice and Constitutional
Affairs
4. Robinson Njeru Githae, Assistant Minister for Justice and
Constitutional Affairs
5. Dr. Christopher Ndarathi Murungaru, Minister of Transport and
Communication, key economic criminal also banned from traveling abroad by both British and US Imperialism.
6. Mr. Daudi Mwiraria, Minister of Finance
7. Professor George Muthengi Saitoti, Minister of Education
8. Beth Wambui Mugo, Assistant Minister of Education
9. Mr. Njenga Karume, Minister of Special Programs
10. Mrs Martha Karua, Minister of Water
11. Mwangi Kiunjuri, Assistant Minister for Energy
12. Mr. Amos M. Kimunya, Minister of Lands and Settlement
13. Francis Muthaura, Seceratry to the Cabinet
14. Njeru Ndwiga, Minister of Co-operative, also an economic
criminal.
Other tribal chieftains who have failed their people and who support
the government blindly by dishing fake promises to their Constituents to sustain the Kibaki dictatorship are:
1. Moody Awori, Vice president, former lackey of former President
Moi and current darling of President Kibaki.
2. Musikari Kombo, Minister of Local government and opposition
traitor
3. Raphael Tuju, Minister of Information and Broadcasting (also "Angel of death" in Kisumu city and killer of freedom of press)
4. Simon Nyachae, Minister of Energy, wealth and land grabber,
economic criminal, former Moi sycophant and traitor of his own people in Kisii.
5. Moses Wetangula, Assistant Minister of Foreign Affairs
6. Noah Wekesa, Assistant Minister Livestock
7. Charity Ngilu, Minister of Health (Boot-licker, key lackey of
Kibaki also known to have made begging trips to State House to feed
her starving people with yellow animal maize)
8. Danson Mungatana, Assistant Minister for Lands and Settlement
9. Morris Dzoro, Minister for Tourism who also came up with a new
system of lining up illiterate Masaais at the the Airport to cheer
tourists.
10. Dr. Mukhisa Kituyi, Minister of Industry
11. David Mwenje, capricious sycophant, unreliable and judas
iscariot (kigeugeu-a person who betrays his own people in times of
need)
There are other traitors from North Eastern province, Coast, Nyanza
and Western who could be mentioned later. What is known is that Kibaki will be relying on the above mentioned "enemies of Kenya"
whose bad leadership has and continues to divide Kenyans.
After the referendum, and assuming that the No campaigners wins, ODM
leaders will be in a stronger position to make a huge political impact in Kenya if they can mobilize the masses (who supported the
No vote) to the streets.
If this mobilization happens, the government will panic and will begin to mobilize the police, the Para-military GSU, Mungiki and
other official and unofficial institutions of violence including the
army to try and stop ODM from becoming a serious political factor that the masses could begin looking at as an "alternative" to the
corrupt government.
Already, the government has met Mungiki leaders to prepare the sect's leadership for the post referendum confrontations with the
point of focus being the creation of chaos by Mungiki if the Orange
wins the referendum. Unfounded and inflammatory talk by Kibaki's top
men about the Orange team training youths and former Ex-Kenya Air Force soldiers in forests have been reported in the media. This
cheap government propaganda and disinformation is aimed at preparing
Kenyans psychologically to passively accept the use of unjustified
force, violence and State terrorism by the government if Kibaki loses the referendum.
The Orange leaders must be prepared to witness the ugliest face of
the government and be prepared to deal with any political consequences because in the event of mass anti-government
mobilizations and protests, the government will feel threatened and
will resort to shooting and killing of innocent demonstrators, mass
arrests, detentions, human rights violations, imprisonments or even
assassinations of Orange leaders if that is what it will take to enable the Mafia team to cling on to power.
Kenyans and the world have witnessed events in Zanzibar where violence was used to quell protests after rigging of elections by
CCM (Chama Cha Mapinduzi) and where the military was used to terrorize the Zanzibari opposition. In Ethiopia, a major bloodbath,
incarceration of opposition leaders and their supporters and detentions have been witnessed after the Ethiopian dictatorship
rigged elections in May this year. In Uganda, our neighbor, Dictator
Yoweri Kaguta Museveni, has began a program of arrests, detention,
intimidation and harassment of the opposition because the former guerilla leader wants to become the "Life President" of Uganda.
In Kenya, the situation might not act itself in exactly the same way. But the most probable scenario is that after the referendum,
there will be an outbreak of violence which, we believe, will start
in Nairobi and spread to other areas as the Mount Kenya Mafia begins
to respond to street protests and internal pressure for the implementation of the Bomas draft, calls for the resignation of the
government or demands for a snap General election. A "No victory" will greatly increase the confidence of the ODM leadersip which will
begin to see itself as the next government, a situation that will force the Mount Kenya Mafia to resort to desperate means as a matter
of political survival. It is here that the instruments of violence
at the hands of the State will become handy.
A critical point is that other ethnic groups in Kenya will not allow
themselves to be dominated, deceived, killed and starved to death by
a tyrannical and barbaric clique of blood sucking Kikuyu ruling
elite who simply wants to retain power and privileges using a counterfeit Constitution that has been rejected by Kenyans.
Regardless of the amount of force the government will try to employ,
it will be impossible to stop Kenyans from changing the government
once the Mount Kenya Mafia gets a "Red card" at the referendum. Despite his iron-fisted method of misrule, former President Daniel
arap Moi failed even to sustain a one party dictatorship after Kenyans said "enough is enough". Kenyans sacrificed their lives in
the streets!
The view of KESDEMO is that the Orange campaigners should not compromise or succumb to the whims of the Kibaki dictatorship
regardless of the outcome of the referendum. Our view is that the ODM leadership should act in the following directions:
1. Go ahead and campaign for the Bomas Draft (Wanjiku) Constitution
to be implemented using the mass support they already enjoy.
2. Begin an immediate campaign for a vote of "No confidence" in the
Kibaki government.
3. Call for a snap General election on grounds that the No vote is a
vote of no confidence in the government.
4. Begin mass mobilization country-wide especially in all rural and
urban areas in Kenya like Nairobi, Kisumu, Nakuru, Mombasa, Lamu, Malindi, Nyeri, Meru, Muranga, Thika, Garisa, Wajir, Mandera,
Marsabit, Isiolo, Nanyuki, Kiganjo, Kisii, Kakamega, Busia, Kericho,
Eldoret, Kitale, Kajiado, Machakos, Kitui, Taita, Wundanyi, Naivasha, Nyahururu, Gilgil, Ruiru, Kiambu etc through
demonstrations and mass protests in the streets to try and achieve
the above objectives.
5. Begin a campaign amongst all Kenyan workers to take industrial
actions in support of campaigns to overthrow the Kibaki dictatorship.
6. Mobilize and prepare the millions of neglected and abandoned
youth to join and resist the oppressive and dictatorial regime of Kibaki until victory is won.
7. Paralyze Parliament and make it impossible for the Kibaki
government to pass illegal and unjustified laws that will further the exploitation and plunder of our country by both wealth grabbers
and imperialist forces operating in the country.
8. The Orange team should begin a campaign aimed at police, the Para-military GSU, the Armed Forces, National Youth Service (NYS), Game
Rangers, Administration Police, the Prison askaris, Forest Guards,
Flying Squad, NIS (National Intelligence Services), CIDs and other
private armies not to be used by a corrupt government to frustrate
the struggle of the majority of Kenyans yearning for liberation of
their Motherland.
The Mount Kenya Mafia will not be able to defeat a determined people
yearning to free themselves from the yokes of Neo-colonialism and dictatorship currently represented by Kibaki. KESDEMO is in
solidarity with all Kenyans in the struggle and will do everything
possible to advance the liberation struggle of our people from political dictatorship of the Kibaki type, Neo-colonialism and
capitalist class rule that has held our people in bondage.
"TUKO TUKITAKIKANA TUKIITWA TUTAITIKA"
Martin Ngatia: ngatia_martin@hotmail.com
Okoth Osewe: osewe@hotmail.com
KESDEMO Central Committee
www.kenyasocialist.org
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